USA finansijsko trziste i refleksije na Evropu, Srbiju...

Dow u minusu, Nasdaq i SP500 u blagom plusu.

Dexiv ::

Dow u minusu, Nasdaq i SP500 u blagom plusu.

Da budemo iskreni, DOW je u manjem minusu nego što su SP500 i Nesdaq u plusu! :)
Možda sutra ipak ne bude ništa strašno!

Korektno, sad jos da vidimo rezultate bolje od ocekivanih i sutra su futuresi u plusu, a mi, zna se. :D

Da, hvala, Dow je bas blago pao, rast Nasdaq-a i SP500 je veci nego sto je pad DJIA.

Samo polako, nema razloga ni za kakvu paniku, setite se sta je bilo u prosli cetvrtak kad smo poceli da mracimo, buuuuuaaaaaaa! :bangbang: :bangbang: :bangbang:

Hvala Dowu što će sve biti OK!
Aj okačite tu Alcou kada se pojavi...

atomski mrav ::

Samo polako, nema razloga ni za kakvu paniku, setite se sta je bilo u prosli cetvrtak kad smo poceli da mracimo, buuuuuaaaaaaa! :bangbang: :bangbang: :bangbang:

Ma Mrave, sta mozemo mi da mracimo? Pad je usledio kao rezultat panike zbog visednevnog i jakog pada zapadnih i azijskih berzi, zar zaista mislis da mi na forumu imamo na to neki uticaj? Investitori se jos uvek osecaju nelagodno, mnogo je vesti koje mirisu na korekciju.

Pošto je završilo u zelenom, javili su se "bikovi" sa svojim analizama:

Purchase Stocks on Pullbacks in S&P 500, Bank of America Says
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By Sapna Maheshwari

Oct. 7 (Bloomberg) -- Investors should purchase stocks during declines in the market and “stay bullish” as the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rallies to 1,200 over the next 12 months, Bank of America Corp. said.

The 56 percent advance in the S&P 500 from a 12-year low in March is “quite moderate” compared with past recoveries from bear markets, wrote a team of Bank of America analysts led by chief U.S. equity strategist David Bianco. Over the last seven months, the S&P 500 has recouped about 43 percent of its tumble from a record in October 2007, compared with an average recovery of 65 percent by this point, the analysts wrote.

“This rally hardly seems overdone to us,” the analysts wrote. A decline of 5 percent to 10 percent in the S&P 500 “would not be surprising, but we would view such a pullback as a buying opportunity,” they wrote.

The index climbed 0.2 percent to 1,056.70 at 3:42 p.m. in New York today. Bianco’s forecast of 1,200 represents a 14 percent advance.

The note, titled “Six Reasons for Optimism,” said that the advance in the S&P 500 will be driven by “sustainable growth” in earnings starting in the fourth quarter, led by higher commodity prices, lower credit costs and increased exports. The analysts project that companies in the measure will earn $61.50 a share in 2009, the most bullish forecast in a survey of 10 strategists by Bloomberg News.

Investor skepticism shows that there is “further room for sentiment and the market to rise before we would consider investors’ bullishness to be overdone,” the analysts wrote.

To contact the reporter on this story: Sapna Maheshwari in New York at smaheshwar11@bloomberg.net.
Last Updated: October 7, 2009 15:43 EDT

Alcoa Strengthens Cash Position and Returns to Profitability in Third Quarter

Highlights:

* Income from continuing operations of $73 million, or $0.07 per share
* Excluding restructuring and special items, income of $39 million, or $0.04 per share
* Revenues up 9 percent over second quarter 2009
* Cash Sustainability initiatives exceeding targets
* Actions offsetting negative currency and energy impacts
* EBITDA of $454 million in third quarter 2009
* Cash from operations of $184 million in third quarter 2009
* Debt-to-capital at 38.3%, down 140 basis points sequentially
* Cash on hand of $1.1 billion

To je ta dobra vesti koju smo čekali?

StefanMR ::

To je ta dobra vesti koju smo čekali?

Jeste!!

I kako se to sutra reflektuje na belex + ili - :bounce:

A na Bloombergu (http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ecal?date=20091007&strtpt=1&endpt=50&c=US) stalno menjaju "Estimated" vrednost za Alcou.
Čas je -0.09, pa -0.13, pa je sada bila -0.15.
Jel su to kao neodlučni?

pepsiman ::

I kako se to sutra reflektuje na belex + ili - :bounce:

Prvo da vidimo reakciju Azije, pa sutra Evrope.

Alcoa Inc. (AA 14.18, -0.02, -0.13%) reported a surprise third-quarter profit Wednesday afternoon, ending three straight quarters of losses. Net income for the aluminum giant was $77 million, 8 cents a share. In the year-ago period, Alcoa earned $268 million, or 33 cents a share. Sales fell 33% to $4.62 billion from last year's quarter. The results topped Wall Street's expectations. Analysts had forecast Alcoa to lose 10 cents a share on revenue of $4.5 billion. Ahead of the report, Alcoa shares closed up 2.2% at $14.20. The stock has gained 26% in value so far this year, better than the 11% gain for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Dakle, cak profit, a svi su ocekivali (u najboljem slucaju) samo dalje smanjenje kvartalnog gubitka. Iznenadjujuce.

Hehehehe, igra se nastavlja.
Sura kada krene zeleno, onda će da kažu "S&P Rallies On Great News From Alcoa", a prekosutra ako krene crveno "DOW Drops After Worrying News From Cotton Industry".
Jedna velika igra!

StefanMR ::

To je ta dobra vesti koju smo čekali?

To je to! :cheers:


Nesto me zeza ova konekcija pa ne primetim da je Dexiv vec odgovorio.

Star is rising for emerging markets, Financial Times tekst. I Srbija spada u emerging markets. Dobro... Da li ce Belex do Nove Godine na 1000? :)

Nas Admin izgleda usao u Alcou na vreme pa sad casti sa novim bojama na forumu.

Dexiv ::

Star is rising for emerging markets, Financial Times tekst. I Srbija spada u emerging markets. Dobro... Da li ce Belex do Nove Godine na 1000? :)

E, kada belex15 dodje na 1000 to ce znaciti da smo se donekle oporavili, bilo je to 15.oktobra 2005 !!!
:D
POčela sam da trgujem na Belexu kada je taj index bio na 900 !!!!
:bangbang:
Edit: ispravka!

http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/aa/overview
Bice, vrlo zanimljivo sutra. :bounce: :bounce: :bounce:

Hvala na dobrim vestima. Za par sati Austlalijski All Ordinaries ce da pozeleni a onda i ostali.

GOOGLE Chief Executive Eric Schmidt said overnight that the worst of the advertising recession was over, and pointed to signs of a recovery in both Europe and the United States.

news.com.au

I tako je i bilo. Sve je bilo zeleno. U toku dana stigla je jos jedna veoma dobra vest:
NEZAPOSLENOST JE PALA SA 5.8 NA 5.7% U ZADNJEM MESECU. Ocekivalo se da se broj nezaoslenih poveca za 10000a on se smanjio za 40000. Kao posledica svega ovoga moze se ocekivati jos jeno pomeranje interesne stope za 0.25% u sledecim mesecima sto neodgovara prosecnoj porodici ciji je dug preko 200 000 A. dolara.

Ja sam čitao neki Bloombergov izveštaj kako većina porodica (koje to mogu da priušte) sada žuri da uhvati povoljnije kredite za kuće, jer se očekuje da će se krediti vratiti na staro kako se oporavlja privreda... Pa zbog toga očekuju rast novih kredita, tj. rast kupovine kuća...

Da oni ce se verovatno opredeliti za fiksne kredite. Primer: Ako je variabilna stopa sada oko 4% Oni ce rado prihvatiti da sledecih 5 godina placaju5% ocekujuci da ce interes u proseku biti iznad toga. Ali sto se tice australije nece se bas mnogo zaletati jer tamo cene gotovo da nisu pale.

Ameri su dobro krenuli
Dow
/quotes/comstock/10w!i:dji/delayed 9,804 +79 +0.81%
Nasdaq
/quotes/comstock/10y!i:comp 2,126 +16 +0.74%
S&P 500
/quotes/comstock/21z!i1:in\x 1,066 +8 +0.78%
GlobalDow
/quotes/comstock/10w!i:gdow 1,908 +23 +1.21%
Gold
/quotes/comstock/21e!f1:gc\z09 1,057 13 1.21% :D

U Australiji kako mi reče rođak koji je bio ovde pre par dana krize nije ni bilo.

Plus, njihova vlada podelila 1.000 dolara po glavi kako bi stimulisala potrošnju. Tako treba, a ne spasavati neke Delte.

Dobar mi je aforizam:

Kosovo je Srbija
sve ostalo je Delta

:bounce: :bounce: :bounce: bice para!

I dalje su u debelom plusu. Sto kaze Ris bice guzve.

North/Latin America
INDEX VALUE CHANGE %CHANGE TIME DOW JONES INDUS. AVG 9,786.95 61.37 0.63% 15:36
S&P 500 INDEX 1,064.68 7.10 0.67% 15:36
NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX 2,125.17 14.84 0.70% 15:36
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX 11,465.04 115.16 1.01% 15:36
MEXICO BOLSA INDEX 29,908.27 144.90 0.49% 15:15
BRAZIL BOVESPA STOCK IDX 63,649.24 1,010.96 1.61% 15:36
More North/Latin America Indexes


Europe/Africa/Middle East
INDEX VALUE CHANGE %CHANGE TIME DJ EURO STOXX 50 € Pr 2,887.61 35.44 1.24% 13:00
FTSE 100 INDEX 5,154.64 45.74 0.90% 11:35
CAC 40 INDEX 3,806.81 50.40 1.34% 12:13
DAX INDEX 5,716.54 75.79 1.34% 14:29
IBEX 35 INDEX 11,814.30 92.90 0.79% 11:35
FTSE MIB Index 23,663.68 249.40 1.07% 11:41
AEX-Index 314.76 5.55 1.79% 12:08
OMX STOCKHOLM 30 INDEX 895.35 9.92 1.12% 11:44
SWISS MARKET INDEX 6,305.80 45.65 0.73% 11:30
More Europe/Africa/Middle East Indexes


Asia/Pacific
INDEX VALUE CHANGE %CHANGE TIME NIKKEI 225 9,832.47 32.87 0.34% 03:00
HANG SENG INDEX 21,492.90 251.31 1.18% 04:01
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX 4,768.60 72.90 1.55% 10/08
More Asia/Pacific Indexes Nemam komentar. :buahaha:

Jos uvek su trzista nesigurna. Vlada prilicno jak sentiment da su akcije precenjene. Ponder P/E na zapadnim trzistima je oko 30, i to jeste znak za korekciju. Sa druge strane, ponder P/E na Belexu je oko 9,5, ali sta ce se dogoditi ako Wall Street dva dana uzastopno padne oko 2%? Pa videli smo to u prosli petak. Zato ne bih bio previse euforican.

pri tome, DOW se odbio od godisnji maksimum 9830 poena u toku danasnjeg trgovanja, ocekujem blagi minus sutra ujutro u Evropi, sto moze da se promeni dok se Belex otvori..
videcemo, vlada osecanje da se ne zna da li ce market gore, ali niko nije spreman da izadje iz akcija, bar se meni tako cini,
pozdrav svima.. i da vidimo sutra zeleno..

Evo nesto najnovije sto bi moglo da pogura D.J. blizu 9900 :

NEW claims for US unemployment benefits dropped to a nine-month low in the past week, the Government said in a report offering a hopeful sign for the labour market and an economic rebound.

The seasonally adjusted number of claims in the week to October 3 fell by 33,000 to 521,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 554,000, the US Labor Department said overnight.

It was much lower than the 540,000 forecast by most economists and the lowest level since January 3, when the number of new claims was 488,000.

Izvor: news.com.au